Sziasztok! Hi Fans!
Talltam egy cikket, a NASCAR erviszonyait mri fel, s ez alapjn lltott fel rangsort a piltk kztt :) Termszetesen Montoya is szerepel a listn :)
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NASCAR er rangsor: odds-ok mind a 25 versenyzre, aki eslyes a CHASE-re
26 versennyel a NASCAR szezonkezds utn, kiderl kik azok a Chase versenyzk, akik eslyesek a bajnoki cmre.
Ha a Sprint Cup hagyomnyos szezonja vget rne ma, a kvetkez versenyzk lennnek a Chase-ben: Carl Edwards, Jimmie Johnson, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Dale Earnhardt Jr. , Tony Stewart, David Ragan, Kurt Busch, Matt Kenseth, Ryan Newman, Denny Hamlin s Jeff Gordon.
The most s a maradk futamokon s az Richmond International Speedway-en sok dolog trtnhet. gy gondolom legalbb 2 versenyz a most felsoroltak kzl ki fog esni a CHASE-bl.
De ki az a 25 versenyz kzl, aki vgl bejut s megnyerheti a Chase-t? Itt a vlemnyem minden egyes versenyzrl s a hozz tartoz odds, hogy mennyi eslye van a CHASE-be kerlsre.
1. Carl Edwards - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 100%
2. Jimmie Johnson (-7 pont a vezethz kpest, 1 gyzelem) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 100%
3. Kurt Busch (-11 pont, 1 gyzelem) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 100%
4. Kevin Harvick (-15 pont, 3 gyzelem) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 100%
5. Kyle Busch (-20 pont, 3 gyzelem) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 100%
6. Matt Kenseth (-26 pont, 2 gyzelem) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 100%
7. Jeff Gordon (-65 pont, 2 gyzelem) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 100%
8. Ryan Newman (-66 pont, 1 gyzelem) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 90%
9. Dale Earnhardt Jr. (-76 pont) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 50%
10. Denny Hamlin (-82 pont, 1 gyzelem) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 90%
11. Tony Stewart (0 pont a 10. helyhez kpest) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 80%
12. Clint Bowyer (-28 pont a 10. helyhez kpest) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 40%
13. David Ragan (-46 pont a 10. helyhez kpest, 1 gyzelem) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre:55 %
14. Kasey Kahne (-47 pont a 10. helyhez kpest) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 30%
15. Greg Biffle (-47 pont a 10. helyhez kpest) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 24 %
16. A. J. Allmendinger (-55 pont a 10- helyhez kpest) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 10%
17. Juan Pablo Montoya: 59 pont htrny a 10.-hez kpest
Juan Pablo Montoynak megfelel eslye van, hogy kvalifiklja magt a Chase-ben. Kiemelked a teljestmnye az utcai plykon s bejuthat a Chase-be egy olyan gyzelemmel pl Watkins Glenben. De amiatt is aggdnia kell, hogy olyan versenyzk, mint pl David Ragan nyerhetnek egy futamot, mert akkor nekik is megn az eslyk.
Montoya teljesen eslyes egy gyzelemre az ovl plykon is, klnsen az Indianapolis Motor Speedwayen, ahol egy vezeti hiba, s egy kis szerencstlensg elg ahhoz, hogy valaki kiessen.
Odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 20%
18. Joey Logano (-60 pont a 10. helyhez kpest) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 15%
19. Paul Menard (-64 pont a 10. helyhez kpest) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 5%
20. Mark Martin (-70 pont a 10. helyhez kpest) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 5%
21. Marcos Ambrose (-5 pont a 20. helyhez kpest) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 2%
22. Martin Truex Jr. (-15 pont a 20. helyhez kpest) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 2%
23. Brad Keselowski (-25 pont a 20. helyhez kpest, 1 gyzelem) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 5%
24. David Reutimann (-52 pont a 20. helyhez kpest) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 1%
25. Jeff Burtun (-55 pont a 20. helyhez kpest) - odds a Chase-be kerlsre: 1%
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NASCAR Power Ranking: Odds for Each of the Top 25 Drivers to Make the Chase
After the 26th race of the season, the field for the 2011 Chase for the Championship will be set.
If the Sprint Cup regular season ended today, the field would consist of the following drivers: Carl Edwards, Jimmie Johnson, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Tony Stewart, David Ragan, Kurt Busch, Matt Kenseth, Ryan Newman, Denny Hamlin and Jeff Gordon.
But between now and the cut-off race at Richmond International Speedway, a lot can and will happen. I predict that at least two of the above drivers will fall out of Chase contention.
Which of the current drivers in the top 25 in the points are likely to make the final cut for the Chase? Here are my thoughts on each driver's odds to make the Chase.
17. Juan Pablo Montoya: 59 Points Behind 10th
Juan Pablo Montoya has a decent chance to qualify for the Chase as a wild card. He excels on the road courses and could make the Chase on the strength of a win at Watkin's Glen. He also might have to worry about beating out another top-20 driver with one win, so passing a driver like David Ragan should be a priority as well.
Montoya is fully capable of winning at an oval track as well, especially Indianapolis Motor Speedway, where bad luck and driver error have ruined recent opportunities for victories.
Odds of making the Chase: 20%
18. Joey Logano (60 points behind 10th) - Odds of making the Chase: 15%
19. Paul Menard (64 points behind 10th) - Odds of making the Chase: 5%
20. Mark Martin (70 points behind 10th) - Odds of making the Chase: 5%
21. Marcos Ambrose (5 points behind 20th) - Odds of making the Chase: 2%
22. Martin Truex Jr. (15 points behind 20th) - Odds of making the Chase: 2%
23. Brad Keselowski (25 points behind 20th, 1 win) - Odds of making the Chase: 5%
24. David Reutimann (52 points behind 20th) - Odds of making the Chase: 1%
25. Jeff Burton (55 points behind 20th) - Odds of making the Chase: 1%
(source)
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